Friday, July 31, 2015

$BND showing bullish signs

Daily Chart
  • Bullish trend since mid-July
  • An exit above the cloud will turn the chart more bullish
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Weekly Chart
  • Price closes slightly above the cloud which is bullish
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$BABA gaps down after bearish two crows pattern; traders may now have a potential buying opportunity, for a limited profit

  • If you missed shorting it on Friday, don't worry there may be another chance.
  • Traders may now have a potential buying opportunity for a quick, but limited profit. Wait for your signal.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015

$DIA, $SPY, $IWM, $QQQ, $BND year-to-date and 1-year performance


  • YTD performance confirms that the market is bullish, but market uncertainty has tempered overall returns

                                  YTD                        1-YEAR
                            Performance              Performance
$DIA                         -0.16%                       +5.22%
$SPY                        +2.14%                       +6.77%
$IWM                      +2.38%                        +7.52%
$QQQ                      +8.10%                      +15.62%    
$BND                      +0.16%                        +2.17%

Year-To-Date Performance

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1-Year Performance

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$SPY Multi-Timeframe Analysis - still in an uptrend despite bearish signs

Weekly Chart
  • Weekly chart remains bullish
  • A close below Kijun Sen (red line) would be troublesome
  • Watch closely due to bearish engulfing candlestick 
Visit StockCharts.com to see more great charts. Daily Chart
  • Bearish tilt since price closed below the cloud
  • Not completely bearish due to other cloud elements
  • Chikou Span closing below the cloud can be used as confirmation and it is currently above the cloud
  • Initial support around $203-$204 if market breaks down
Visit StockCharts.com to see more great charts. Hourly Chart
  • Bearish trend
  • Chikou Span, Tenkan Sen, and Kijun Sen have not fallen below cloud yet which will completely turn the chart bearish
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$HD is trading sideways

  • Traded higher on Friday, but has not broken out of $110-$114 trading range
  • Tenkan Sen (blue line) needs to start pointing upward for upward momentum
  • Future Kumo is bullish, but still flat although Senkou Span A is tilting upward which is promising
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$TWTR doesn't have any upside momentum; 93% probability of being below $50 over the next 50 days

  • Sentiment: Bearish
  • % Below 200-EMA: -16.9%
  • % increase needed to reach $50: 43%
  • Probability of being below $50 over the next 50-days: 93%
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Saturday, July 11, 2015

$SPY looks like a pullback in an uptrend, but caution is advised

Weekly Chart
  • Sentiment: Bullish
  • Kijun Sen is acting like support which is around $204
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Daily Chart
  • Sentiment: Bearish since price is below Kumo. 
  • Current Kumo is bullish while future Kumo is bearish
  • Price seems to be finding support in the $204-$205 range
  • A breakout above the cloud will confirm that the pullback has reversed
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Hourly Chart
  • Kumo breakout looming which is bullish
  • Future Kumo has turned bullish
  • A breakout above the cloud should carry over to daily chart to complete the reversal of the pullback
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Wednesday, July 8, 2015

$SPY approaches support zone

  • Short-term trend is bearish
  • Intermediate and long-term trends are still bullish
  • Monitor market for bounce off support to improve risk/reward ratio
  • A close below the support zone will turn intermediate term bearish
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$SPY is trading below the cloud which is bearish near-term

  • A move into the cloud would show some upward momentum
  • $SPY needs to move back above the cloud to turn bullish
  • A close toward $203 would threaten the 200-day EMA

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