Saturday, January 31, 2015

The small caps January effect didn't materialize as they continue to lag



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Utilities Sector is the only S&P 500 sector still with a short-term Ichimoku Cloud bullish signal

That may change next week



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S&P 500 P/E ratio is below its 250-day moving average

Nimble traders should wait until it turns up and crosses the moving average before buying into the market.



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$FDX - Bullish long-term and an opportunity to pick up some shares by scaling in



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Our Vanguard portfolio allocations

70% stocks/30% bonds

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TWTR shows resistance around $40



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Facebook has settled above $75 after being manipulated above $80 back in December

$FB
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United States Gasoline Fund ($UGA) turns up





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$NATGAS - Winter has yet to have an impact on natural gas prices





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Unleaded gasoline closes above 20-day moving average and may be a sign that prices at the pump will rise



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$BRENT rallies 7% and has support around $50/barrel



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Spikes in the fear gauge ($VIX) are good market buying opportunities

Wait until $VIX starts to decline



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$SPY daily chart has bearish tone with $SPY trading in the cloud.

Aggressive traders should buy since intermediate trend is still bullish.  Nimble traders should wait until daily and weekly charts align.



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$SPY is above the cloud which is bullish, but is in a trading range

Weekly chart.

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Stock-to-Bond Ratio (VTI:BND) is at a decision point and will favor bonds when all 3 indicators turn negative



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Our Market Timing Indicator will issue a sell signal if the S&P 500 drops below 1,970



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1-year performance of major ETFs is above the total bond market benchmark

Avoid when the performance is below the bond benchmark.



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Exit the market when 1-year performance is below intermediate bonds or turns negative


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