Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Just for $TWTR fans: $TWTR surges almost 6% ($2) so that those who bought at $52 are only sitting on a 30% loss

  • For investors: $TWTR faces major upside resistance.  Don't touch it unless it fits into your trading plan or unless you see some upside momentum because there are better investments out there.
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Monday, June 29, 2015

$VIX shoots up like a bottle rocket into a resistance zone $VIX $SPX $SPY

  • $VIX and the market as defined by $SPX and $SPY are negatively correlated
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Trading Plan - Today's market drop reinforces why your trading plan is important $SPX $SPY $DJIA

  • Your trading plan should tell you what to do not only when the market is rising, but also when it drops
  • Remember that the market always goes down faster than it goes up
  • Your reaction to the market should be automatic
  • If you find yourself paralyzed not knowing what to do your trading is not working
  • If you find yourself thinking too much about your next move then you need a new trading plan
  • Here is an example of a trading plan rule:
  •  Identify support and resistance levels.  Exit 50% of your positions if the market falls 1% below your 1st major support level.  Exit the remaining 50% if it falls 1% below your 2nd support level.
  • If you followed the above rules you would exit 1/2 of your positions at $201 and 1/2 at $198.
  • You should also have rules to tell you when to enter the market which could be the opposite of the above or whatever rules that work for you.
  • The above is just an example. Your trading plan and rules should fit your investment style and personality.
  • Happy Trading!


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$SPX falls out of the cloud with major support looming and a break below it will be wearisome


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Saturday, June 27, 2015

$UAL may be at a support level after falling over 20%


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Dividend paying stocks like REITs and Utilities are declining due to rising bond yields


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$AAPL is trading sideways in a support zone

  • Future cloud is flat illustrating flat trading
  • $AAPL is bullish overall so this may be an opportunity to pick up some shares if it fits your trading plan
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$TWTR has been inching downward, but may have support around $34

  • Thick future bearish cloud implies very little upside in the near term
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$BABA falls below support and the cloud and faces major resistance

  • Sentiment is bearish
  • Major resistance around $86.41 and $92.50
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Oil is trading sideways with a future bearish cloud

  • Thick future bearish cloud implies that there may not be a lot of upside in the near-term
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$VIX is right at an initial resistance level with a thinning future Kumo

  • 200-day EMA is the next level of resistance
  • A cross of the 200-day may lead to a decline in stocks
  • Investors should be watchful of their portfolios and be prepared to adjust if necessary
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Divergent performance of $DJT weighs on $DJIA



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$UGA is bearish with a think future Kumo waiting indicating resistance





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$XLF in support zone which may be a buying opportunity since overall trend is bullish






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$VNQ reaches support zone



  • That's the only compelling reason to buy if you must have real estate in your portfolio
  • The overall trend for $VNQ is still bearish


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$IWM reaches support zone after 3 black crows



  • Although 3 black crows are a bearish candlestick patter, the overall trend for $IWM is bullish
  • Aggressive Investors can treat this as a dip and scale in when price is in the support zone
  • Nimble investors should wait until a bounce off support to ensure 3 black crows are not a trend reversal


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Sunday, June 21, 2015

$RVX indicates $RUT and $IWM may have peaked


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$VIX may be setting up to rise since future Kumo is thinning

This is bearish for the market.

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$QQQ is bumping up against resistance

Investors should protect gains by tightening stops.
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$IWM may have reached resistance at 128 and could be overbought

  • Investors would wise to tighten stops in case of a pullback
  • Investors waiting to jump on can target a price below 127 while keeping initial support in mind which is around 126
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Let's see if the $DJIA bounces off support around 18,000 next week


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$XLF pulls back in a bullish uptrend


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$XLK pulls back to support, but overall trend is bullish


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$XLP breaks above the cloud, but future Kumo is bearish

Caution is advised.

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$XLE is at support and offers a potential counter trend trade


  • This could be a potential counter trend trade with resistance at 78
  • With a stop at 75.33 it has a potential 1-to-3 risk/reward ratio

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$XLI has been in a consolidation trend since November


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$XLY reached some resistance right below 78



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$XLU bumped up against resistance and may be moving downward toward support


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$XLV is bullish so wait for a pullback to enter





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$XLB is trendless

  • Trading within the cloud
  • Very tight support and resistance

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Saturday, June 20, 2015

$BABA is at a support level and could bounce, but keep expectations low

There are better opportunities out there and there is strong resistant at $92.50.

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$VNQ is near resistance and may be a good short opportunity

  • With the Fed raising interest rates albeit gradually $VNQ is bearish
  • With $VNQ near resistance the rally may be short-lived creating a shorting opportunity
  • Stop loss at 79.61 results in a risk/reward ratio of 1-to-2.15
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Year-to-date performance of major airlines $DAL $LUV $AAL $ALK $UAL



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$LUV turns up and has a potential of a 1-to-3 risk/reward ratio

  • Airlines are turning up and $LUV is no exception
  • Price is currently at around major support at $34
  • Next resistance levels are at $36 and $38
  • A risk/reward ratio of 1-to-3 at the current price of $34.22 equates to a stop at $33.63 and target at $35.99
  • A trailing stop can be used also

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$DAL gaps up from major support to the next support/resistance level

  • Traded around major support at $40.39 for 9 bars
  • Gaps to $41.99 which was resistance and is now support
  • Next resistance level is $43.47
  • A 1-to-3 risk reward ratio exists at the current price of $41.99, stop loss at $41.49, and profit target at $43.47
  • The stop is tight since $DAL is below the cloud
  • A trailing stop at $0.49 can be used to ride the upward trend
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Airlines may be getting ready to bounce up

Airline index is at support which seems to be strong around $217.



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SPY Ichimoku Cloud Multi-Timeframe Analysis